Year: 2022
Michael Covel Interview on Trend Following Radio
Vitaliy recently sat down with his friend Michael Covel of Trend Following Radio. Michael and Vitaliy discuss investing in today's environment, luxury beliefs, energy, and tribalism in American society today. The episode was recorded in January 2022,...
Why Is Inflation So High Right Now? 6 Reasons + What Happens Next
The war in Ukraine will likely pour more gasoline on the already raging inflationary fire, threatening to send the global economy into stagflation. Stagflation is a slowdown of economic activity caused by inflation.
See More Clearly With These Two Mental Models – Ep 155
Vitaliy is a big fan of mental models. They allow someone to think through analogy, often folding complex concepts into simple ones and transporting them from one discipline to another. If you use them well, you'll often see what others don't. Essay -...
Soul in the Game – The Art of a Meaningful Life
When Vitaliy first started talking about writing another book several years ago, he couldn’t have predicted where that journey would take him. The book that he took time off in 2017 to write is still unfinished, waiting for its moment in the sun....
How to Build a Portfolio for Today’s Crazy Markets – Ep 154
Vitaliy doesn’t know what the stock market will do next. He may have opinions and hunches, but he never acts on them. He never tries to predict the market’s next move. Neither Vitaliy nor anyone else is good at it. The only thing Vitaliy can do is...
Vitaliy Will Be in Omaha Next Week (and Why He Goes) – Ep 153
Vitaliy is hosting an intimate gathering for friends, readers, and fellow value investors from 8–10:30 AM on Friday, April 29, 2022, at Lula B’s in Omaha. Stop by and enjoy some delicious breakfast. If you show up early enough, you might even get...
A Value Investor Gathering in Omaha
I am hosting an intimate gathering for friends, readers, and fellow value investors from 8–10:30 AM on Friday, April 29, 2022, at Lula B’s in Omaha. Stop by and enjoy some delicious breakfast. If you show up early enough, you might even get a free signed copy of my new book, Soul in the Game: The Art of a Meaningful Life.
Why Green Energy is a Luxury Belief – But Won’t Be One Forever – Ep 152
Being a wealthy country has allowed us to develop what some call “luxury beliefs” – ideas and beliefs that make us feel good about ourselves but that horribly fail upon contact with objective reality. In this article, Vitaliy shares how our...
Turning a PBS Interviewer into Interviewee
I was interviewed on PBS Newshour about the insanity that is happening in the NFT market. I can sum up my thoughts in one sentence: NFTs, just like cryptocurrencies, are not just a technology of the future, but a speculative bubble induced by excess global liquidity in the present.
Vitaliy’s Interview with the Value Perspective Podcast
Vitaliy recently had the pleasure to be a guest on the Value Perspective Podcast by Schroders. In this wide ranging conversation, Vitaliy talks about how he discovers mental models, the risks of linear thinking, and shares an embarrassing story about...
Mental Models for Investing – an Interview with The Value Perspective
I sat down with the Value Perspective podcast to discuss my value investing approach. Much of the conversation ended up focusing on mental models and frameworks that I’ve found useful in analyzing businesses - and the market as a whole - as a value investor. You can read the transcript or listen to the original podcast interview below.
Soul in the Game – The Art of a Meaningful Life
This is my newest book. It has nothing to do with investing. In fact, it is a deeply personal collection of inspiring stories and hard-won lessons that weave together insights from classical composers, ancient Stoics, and contemporary thinkers. It's a tapestry of practical wisdom that has helped me overcome some of my greatest challenges - in work, family, identity, and health.
War in Ukraine: Part 4 – Are There Neo-Nazis in Ukraine? – Ep 151
In his speech declaring war on Ukraine, the dictator of Russia, Vladimir Putin, said the goal of his “special operation” was the de-Nazification of Ukraine. He’d remove the democratically elected government and install a Russia-friendly puppet...
War in Ukraine: Part 4 – Are There Neo-Nazis in Ukraine?
In his speech declaring war on Ukraine, the dictator of Russia, Vladimir Putin, said the goal of his “special operation” was the de-Nazification of Ukraine and ridding it of drug addicts. He’d remove the democratically elected government and install a Russia-friendly puppet government instead, thus expanding the power and influence of the Russian empire. But are there neo-Nazis in Ukraine?
War in Ukraine: Part 3 – The Future of Russia – Ep 150
Sanctions have a checkered history. They didn’t get rid of Castro in Cuba or the Kims in North Korea. It took more than a decade for sanctions against South Africa in the 1980s to bear fruit. But the world has never seen sanctions like this....
War in Ukraine: Part 2 – The New World – Ep 149
Just as 9/11 dramatically changed the flow of history, resulting in two wars and hundreds of thousands of deaths, so too will Putin’s invasion of Ukraine. Right now, we are seeing only the first effects and getting glimpses of second-order effects....
War in Ukraine: Part 3 – The Future of Russia
Sanctions have a checkered history. They didn’t get rid of Castro in Cuba or the Kims in North Korea. It took more than a decade for sanctions against South Africa in the 1980s to bear fruit. But the world has never seen sanctions like this. Ironically, these sanctions may give Putin even more power.
War in Ukraine: Part 2 – The New World
Just as 9/11 dramatically changed the flow of history, resulting in two wars and hundreds of thousands of deaths and millions of lives ruined, so too will Putin’s invasion of Ukraine. Right now, we are seeing only the first effects and getting glimpses of second-order effects. The broad third-order effects will not be visible for a long time, though they’ll be obvious in hindsight.
War in Ukraine: Why I Was Blindsided, Part 1 – Ep 148
Eight days before Russia invaded Ukraine, Vitaliy wrote an article saying there would be no war. He was certain of it, and he was completely wrong. How could he get it so wrong? The more you knew about the situation, the less likely you were to see it...
War in Ukraine: Why I Was Blindsided, Part 1
Eight days before Russia invaded Ukraine, I wrote an article saying there would be no war. I was certain of it. I was wrong. Why I was blindsided? The more you knew about the situation, the more likely you were to get it wrong.
See More Clearly With These Two Mental Models
I'm a big fan of mental models. They allow you to think through analogy, often folding complex concepts into simple ones and transporting them from one discipline to another. They're thinking shortcuts. If you arm yourself with mental models, you’ll often see what others don’t.
