Stock Analysis
Investing in a New Era of Global Tensions
You don’t have to worry about the market and its crazy valuations. That’s your neighbor’s problem, not yours. In building your portfolio, we are aiming for resilience.
Why the Survival and Dominance of Car Manufacturers is Far from Certain
Today EV sales account for a tiny rounding error of total global car sales. Can traditional automobile companies successfully transition to making EVs?
Next Year in Omaha (2024 Edition)
It is time to plan for my annual pilgrimage to Omaha! I am very sad because, for the first time, Warren Buffett will not be joined onstage by Charlie Munger, who passed away in November.
Putting a Charge Back into the EV Market
Over the last few months, electric car sales seem to have gone from hot to cold. Are electric cars a fad, like beanie babies, pet rocks, or fidget spinners?
My thoughts on AI
Innovation disrupts, but it also creates new jobs and improves the standard of living of society. AI will displace many jobs, but it will also empower people with new productivity tools.
Tax Loss Harvesting
With a few exceptions, which I’ll address at the end, tax-loss selling makes no logical sense. Let me give you an example.
What happens in China may not stay in China
To understand what will happen in China and its impact on the global economy, we simply need to invert what happened over the last two decades.
Our investments in oil and natural gas stocks
I am about to discuss a topic that, for reasons that are unclear to me, has been politicized: oil and natural gas stocks. I am writing this as a pragmatic analyst who looks at two factors: supply and demand.
Unions: From Stimulant for the Economy to Cancer
Unions have had a very important role in shaping the US and our laws over the past hundred years. I have read stories about how working in Chicago meat packing plants a century ago was as hazardous as enduring the trenches in World War I. Unions have fixed that.
My thoughts on the economy
A collection of my thoughts on the economy, government spending, interests rates, housing market, and other important points.
Why I No Longer Mind Losing an Argument
Reflecting on my experience with Dale Carnegie's book, I share how it transformed my approach to criticism and debate, and why I no longer mind losing an argument.
How do I get any research done since I travel a lot?
I get asked at times: How do I get any research done since I travel a lot? To answer this question, I need to explain how we do research.
The Growing Pains of Maturity
Many times, we bought because they were in their “junior year”; this is what made them undervalued. Our research led us to the conclusion that their difficulties were transitory and that as they matured the market would revalue them.
What is the Value of Apple? How do we evaluate risk?
Today I will share the Q&A section of the letter. Every time I am almost finished with the client letter, I ask clients to send me any questions they have about their portfolio or other topics. I answer these questions in the Q&A section.
Vision Pro is the Vision of the Future
I have read reviews of Vision Pro, Apple’s virtual reality headset. Meta’s Quest Pro suddenly started to remind me of Microsoft PCs – made by engineers for engineers, where the Vision Pro is created by humans for humans
A Story about a Story
Apple is the best storytelling company on the planet. In its storytelling, Apple so wants you to fall in love and have an emotional connection with its product that it even names the parts that go into it.
You are – What you think about (Recession, Economy, Stock Market)
I’ve been asked by many readers and some clients for my thoughts on the economy and recession. As I am typing this, I’m thinking about how much ink I should be spilling on writing about the recession and how much time we, as investors, should be allocating to thinking and worrying about it.
Should I be worried about the safety of my Schwab account?
Many investors, including our clients, have been worried about their Schawb account safety. Are they right to be worried?
Libertarian’s (Unexpected) View on the Bailout of the Banking System
Bailout of the banking system create social tension. Eventually, bailouts introduce so much risk into the system that failures and bailouts become too costly for the society to bear, government creates draconian rules trying to prevent them in future, which in turn kills innovation and the formation of new businesses, and the result is a stagnating economy.
What to Expect After the Silicon Valley Bank Collapse
The Silicon Valley Bank collapse may be an extreme event, but it gives us a preview at a 100x magnification of what other banks are facing.
The Stock Market, The Economy, Possible Outcomes, How to Invest
This is part one of the winter seasonal letter I wrote to IMA clients, sharing my thoughts about the economy and the market. I tried something I’ve never done before. Instead of conveying my message through storytelling, I tried to compress my thoughts into short sentences…
