The Intellectual
Investor’s
Lexicon
By Vitaliy Katsenelson
Law of Large Numbers
The larger they get, the more important the law of large numbers will become, as they are limited by the size of their markets.
Liquidation Value
At one times book, we basically bought Svenska at its liquidation value and paid nothing for the company’s future ability to grow, its superior return on capital, its unique culture, etc.
Liz Truss Moment
Every day we are getting closer to a ‘Liz Truss moment.’ She announced a highly inflationary ‘pro-growth’ budget. The UK bond market responded with a ‘mini-crash,’ while the stock market experienced a much bigger decline.
Loan-to-Value Ratio
Svenska’s lending practices are very conservative — loan-to-value for Svenska-generated mortgages is 55%. House prices would have to drop 45% before Svenska would start losing money on mortgages.
Long-Term Time Horizon
Having a long-term time horizon is a valuable asset that has to be guarded like a treasure. Having a longer time horizon than the rest of the market is a significant competitive advantage.
Lost Decade
P/E compression and earnings growth work against each other, resulting in zero (or nearly) price appreciation plus dividends, though this is achieved with plenty of cyclical volatility along the way.