Petrochemicals story continued

Basically, global consumption of goods decline, fewer goods manufactured, and fewer ships are needed to cross the Atlantic. Simply, less petrochemicals used.

Petrochemicals story continued

It is amazing what companies will do to cut costs during recession. We know that demand for oil will decline during a global economic slowdown. Basically, global consumption of goods decline, fewer goods manufactured, and fewer ships are needed to cross the Atlantic. Simply, less petrochemicals used. Today’s article in the WSJ discusses how Maersk a large shipping company is trying to save $1 billion a year.

“Eugen Maersk has left Rotterdam, the Netherlands, on the tail end of a journey from Shanghai. But the giant freighter is cruising at 10 knots, well shy of her 26-knot top speed… At about half speed, fuel consumption drops to 100-150 tons of fuel a day from 350 tons, saving as much as $5,000 an hour.”

I am sure this strategy was unthinkable only a year ago, consumers wanted goods and wanted them NOW. But now that inventories are piling up, car companies are probably finding it cheaper and safer to store cars on slow moving ship than in ports or parking lots.

This is just one, though very large, company trying to survive in a very tough environment. Imagine what other companies worldwide are doing to survive. The point: oil consumption may drop a lot more than we may expect.

Please read the following important disclosure here.

New to investing?

Explore these valuable guides to get started.

Related Articles

Depressing Reasons Why I Am Bullish On Gold

Depressing Reasons Why I Am Bullish On Gold (part 2)

Here is what changed my mind. Not something about gold, but many things about the dollar. The US dollar is the world's reserve currency. It has had a well-deserved place since WWII, and that rested on three things: the largest, steadiest, most diverse economy; a politically stable democracy; the best military.
Narrative Change

Narrative Change (part 1)

Narrative change is a reversal of mass behavior. Economics and stock market valuation are governed by soft laws, but the reality bent by human behavior can disagree with these soft laws for much longer than rational actors would expect, or stay solvent. The change, going from euphoria to despair, is a change in narrative.
Todays Market = 1999 Capex + 2008 Credit

Today’s Market = 1999 Capex + 2008 Credit

I wrote in the past that the AI rollout feels a lot like déjà vu of the 1999 telecom bubble. Today's AI bubble has elements of both the 1999 overinvestment in internet infrastructure and the 2008 collapse of financial instruments that infected the banking and financial system.
You Don't Need to Be an Expert to Hire One. You Need a Tunaman

You Don’t Need to Be an Expert to Hire One. You Need a Tunaman.

I interview corporate executives for a living. I have spent nearly three decades analyzing businesses and managing other people's savings. And yet, when my wife and I decided to remodel our house, I felt completely naked.

Leave a Comment