Russian Oil Production

Share:

Paint me a skeptic or perhaps it's just from being born in Russia, but I think Russian oil production is very likely to decline in the future. Why?

Russian Oil Production

Paint me a skeptic or perhaps it’s just from being born in Russia, but I think Russian oil production is very likely to decline in the future. Why? Simple, over last couple of years Russian Government has de-privatized a big chunk of oil companies.  As we know government is not as effective at managing resources as private enterprise. Don’t believe me? Just take a look how Fed Ex (FDX) and UPS have taken share from the US Postal Service – a government run legal monopoly.

Please read the following important disclosure here.

New to investing?

Explore these valuable guides to get started.

Related Articles

Your Sophist Filter On CEOs, Cynics, and the Voice in Your Head

Your Sophist Filter: On CEOs, Cynics, and the Voice in Your Head

A great speaker can bend logic with emotions and exert undue influence on your decision making. The better someone speaks, the more discriminating your Sophist filter needs to be.
Depressing Reasons Why I Am Bullish On Gold

Depressing Reasons Why I Am Bullish On Gold (part 2)

Here is what changed my mind. Not something about gold, but many things about the dollar. The US dollar is the world's reserve currency. It has had a well-deserved place since WWII, and that rested on three things: the largest, steadiest, most diverse economy; a politically stable democracy; the best military.
Narrative Change

Narrative Change (part 1)

Narrative change is a reversal of mass behavior. Economics and stock market valuation are governed by soft laws, but the reality bent by human behavior can disagree with these soft laws for much longer than rational actors would expect, or stay solvent. The change, going from euphoria to despair, is a change in narrative.
Todays Market = 1999 Capex + 2008 Credit

Today’s Market = 1999 Capex + 2008 Credit

I wrote in the past that the AI rollout feels a lot like déjà vu of the 1999 telecom bubble. Today's AI bubble has elements of both the 1999 overinvestment in internet infrastructure and the 2008 collapse of financial instruments that infected the banking and financial system.

Leave a Comment