Stock Market
From Bull to Sideways Markets to Nvidia
I discussed my condensed views on the stock market, economy, and our investment strategy in a letter to IMA clients.
What to Expect After the Silicon Valley Bank Collapse
The Silicon Valley Bank collapse may be an extreme event, but it gives us a preview at a 100x magnification of what other banks are facing.
The Stock Market, The Economy, Possible Outcomes, How to Invest
This is part one of the winter seasonal letter I wrote to IMA clients, sharing my thoughts about the economy and the market. I tried something I’ve never done before. Instead of conveying my message through storytelling, I tried to compress my thoughts into short sentences…
Stock Market Roller Coaster: Prepare for a Decade or Two of Disappointing Returns!
Investors who own index funds have likely strapped themselves into a giant stock market roller coaster which, to this point, has only gone up.
Why we’re not celebrating the vindication of our investing principles
Value investors have had a miserable time over the past years. Now that our investing principles are finally being vindicated, you’d expect us to gloat. But Herr Schadenfreude is not a friend of ours.
How Greed and Leverage Destroyed the Crypto Tulip Market
Crypto currency was touted as antidote to central banking. But with its own flaws, is the system itself to blame for this crypto market crash?
Why Value Investing Requires Thoughtful Arrogance
You need arrogance as a value investor, but it can also be your downfall. So how do you master the psychological side of value investing?
Charter Communications (CHTR) Stock: Heads we win, tails we don’t lose
Charter Communications (CHTR) is a significantly undervalued stock today. But are competition, 5G, and satellite internet significant threats to its business? How does its management compare to AT&T and Verizon? Read our analysis below.
ARKK Stocks Sunk
The better ARK performed, the more money flowed into its main ETF, ARKK. It used this money to buy more sci-fi ARKK stocks, pushing up the prices of its holdings. This created a vicious cycle that has now reversed.
How to Build a Portfolio for Today’s Crazy Markets
We don’t know what the stock market will do next. We have opinions and hunches, and we never act on them. We never try to predict the market’s next move. Neither we nor anyone else is good at it. The only thing we can do is to trim the sails of our portfolio to align with the winds of inflation.
Position Sizing: How to Construct Portfolios That Protect You
Some investors think the fewer positions you own, the cooler you are. I remember meeting two investors at a conference. One had a seven-stock portfolio, the other had three stocks. Sadly, the financial crisis humbled both. On the other hand, too many positions breeds indifference. At IMA, our portfolio construction process is built from a first-principles perspective.
How to Invest When There’s Nowhere to Hide
I was having lunch with a close friend of mine. He mentioned that he had accumulated a significant sum of money and did not know what to do with it. It was sitting in bonds, and inflation was eating its purchasing power at a very rapid rate.
This Holiday, Will Mr. Market Eat Too Much Pi?
There happens to be a cryptocurrency, one of thousands, that is also named Omicron. I still cannot grasp the logic behind it, but that cryptocurrency was up 900% on the day the South African variant was christened. There must have been a trading algorithm or a lot of bored investors looking for the next gamble, to drive something seemingly worthless up 900%.
Fool’s Gambit
In investing, there are many "games to play". There are a lot of ways to try to make money in the market, and not all of them are good, rational, or productive over the long term.
Sideways Market
I go over why we may be entering a sideways market (I wrote two books on this subject), as well as how to invest in them.
When the Facts Change, We Change Our Minds (Anatomy of a Sale)
Even before the coronavirus we were not big fans of the airlines stocks. Planes are expensive. Airlines have to pay for them whether they are fully occupied during normal economic times or when they are half-loaded during recessions.
Nifty FANGAM and Other “One Decision” Investment Strategies
In early January we would not have guessed the stock market would be at today’s level, there must be more to the stock market than FANGAM.
The Fischer Random Chess Stock Market
There is a parallel between today’s stock market and Fischer random chess. The last time we faced a global pandemic was in 1918. The only common denominator between now and then is that humans have not really changed that much – it takes a few millennia to rewire our DNA and thus our fundamental behavior.
